Spengler’s Last Prophecy

Grimey, gaunt-eyed throngs are groping their way across the world. Europe–the object of their longing–offers all. The black and brown masses, hearing her Siren-call, know that they will be welcomed. Europe’s ancient populations are tired. They see no reason to resist.

Such is the premise of Camp of the Saints, the 1973 novel of Jean Raspail. It has rightly received a lot of attention lately, as swarms of Syrians and Somalis, Nigerians and Sudanese, Eritreans and Iraqis begin to infest the Old Continent’s cities. But Raspail was not the first to imagine an ignominious and anticlimactic end to Western Civilization in its homeland. Forty years earlier, another had imagined the same scenario.

Not only imagined, but predicted. In 1933 Oswald Spengler, Germany’s most celebrated philosopher of history, published his last major work The Hour of Decision. Spengler is known primarily for Decline of the West, his two-volume, thousand-page meditation on the meaning of history. But perhaps he should be better known for Hour of Decision, because in it, he prophesies many aspects of the current crisis.

The Hour of Decision, at 230 pages in English, is much shorter than Spengler’s magnum opus. Decline of the West explains why and how the West has reached its spiritual and cultural peak, and will remain largely stagnant for the next few centuries, before it collapses totally. Hour of Decision is more specific. It describes what exactly will happen as a result of this inner decay.

Spengler is painfully specific about the next century. He foresees that the West’s strength will continue to atrophy due to moral decay–feminism, greed and philistinism lead to declining birthrates, a greying population and a loss of the will to live. In its enervated state, the White world falls prey to lean and hungry third-worlders.

Feminism and Declining Birthrates

Birthrates are the most visible symptom of Western decay. Spengler cites figures for European birthrates and contrasts them with Asia and Africa with its “extrordinarily prolific Negro population.” He lays the blame for Western birth-decline on the feminism, with its exultation of lust over procreation. An uncorrupted woman

“does not desire to be a ‘companion’ or a ‘lover,’ but a mother; and not the mother of one child, to serve as a toy and distraction, but of many: the instinct of a strong race speaks in the pride that large families inspire, in the feeling that barrenness is the hardest curse that can befall a woman and through her the race.” (p. 220)

Don’t forget that, ladies. Spengler continues:

“Out of this instinct arises the primitive jealousy which leads one woman to take away from another the man whom she covets as the father of her children. The more intellectual jealousy of the great cities, which is little more than erotic appetite and looks upon the other party as a means of pleasure, and even the mere fact of considering the desired or dreaded number of children who are to be born, betrays the waning of the race urge to permanence.” (220)

Fornication=metadeath. That’s probably the strongest argument against all this 2D-Waifu bullshit and the hedonism of the PUAs. The correct response to feminist-inspired degeneracy is not to “sit poolside” but to counter-attack, to regain control of our own people by teaching them to control themselves, male and female alike.

Thus reimposing monogamy is the surest means of revitalizing our people. It can be done. Reacting to similar trends in Rome, Augustus imposed a series of laws encouraging the marriage and procreation of citizens, eg. the jus trium liberorum. Vladimir Putin has pursued the same policy successfully since 2007 (proving this 2006 piece of Slate snark laughably wrong). The Russians focused on “regions where demographic problems were particularly acute,” ie the whiter ones.

Ruled by Greed: High Finance

Spengler posits that there is a stage in every Culture’s political evolution where “High Finance” calls the shots. Long-standing political habits are still strong enough to prevent the naked use of violence, but norms are corrupted enough that financiers can dominate behind the scenes. Rome found itself in this era between the Hannibal and The Gracchi, and Spengler argues that the West’s situation is analogous.

High finance offers the public the illusion of political choice: the liberal-conservative duopoly. In democracies the only options are to speed up or slow down the liberalizing trend. Thus “conservatives” are just liberals from a few years ago. And as now, conservatives only fight holding actions. They are totally exposed to bullying attacks from the left:

“[The West] is sick, sick in its instincts and therefore in its mind. It offers no defence. It takes pleasure in its own vilification and disintegration. From the middle of the eighteenth century it has broken up more and more into Liberal and Conservative circles–the latter representing merely the opposition set up in desperate self-defence against the former….They sought to defend the conserving forces of the old Culture–State, monarchy, army, consciousness of standing property, peasantry.”


“And are therefore cried down as “reactionary.” This word, which the Liberals invented, is thrown back  at them now by their Marxian pupils, in that they try to prevent the logical outcome of their actions: such is our reputed progress. On the other side stands almost everything that has the urban intelligence or, if not, at least looks up to it as the badge of superiority in the conditions of today and in terms of the power of the future–the future that is already past.” (118)

Cucks put up a lousy fight, and then the SJWs call them mean names, and they fold. What has changed? Reading books from the early 20th century really opens your eyes. You see that while the overall situation has changed, the underlying dynamics have not.

Physical and Mental degeneration

Westerners have become soft. This weakness is evident from Westerners’ physical and mental health. Life becomes a value in itself. In importance, it is only superseded by Choice. The Nietzschean will-to-power has been vulgarized:

“[Modern medicine] prolongs each life whether it is desirable or no. it prolongs even death. It replaces the number of children by the number of greybeards. It promotes the world outlook of panem et circenses by estimating the value of life by the number of its days, not by their usefulness. It prevents the natural process of selection and thereby accentuates the decay of the race” (223)

In the realm of thought, the press provides a pseudo-intellectual defense of the decay:

“Journalism becomes the dominant expression of the time. It is the critical espirit of the eighteenth century diluted and lightened for intellectual mediocrity….Liberalism goes further still. Tolerance is extended to the destructive forces of the city dregs, not demanded by them. In Western Europe Russian Nihilists and Spanish anarchists are gushed over in good society with revolting sentimentality” (119-120)

Fashionable people gush over barbarian Nihilists
The Resistance

“The Liberal press rings with maledictions of the prisons in which the martyrs of liberty languish [ed: this is meant ironically], and not a word is dropped in favour of the countless defenders of the State, down to the simple soldier and policeman, who are blown into the air, crippled by bullet-wounds, or slaughtered in the exercise of their duty.”

Or just rail-roaded out of their careers, and forced to live in hiding. But Spengler is just getting warmed up. Moral degeneracy, feminism and the triumph of High Finance are only crippling. The death blow awaits:

Third World Immivasion

Spengler cuts to the bone here. He foresees that non-Europeans will take advantage of whites’ weakened state.

“The coloured man sees through the white man when he talks about ‘humanity’ and everlasting peace. He scents the other’s unfitness and lack of will to defend himself.”


The prophet goes on:

“The coloured races are not pacifists, they do not cling to a life whose length is its sole value. They take up the sword when we lay it down. Once they feared the white man; now they despise him. Our judgement stands written in their eyes when men and women comport themselves in their presence as they do, at home or in the lands of colour themselves. Once they were filled with terror at our power–as were the Germanic people before the first Roman legions. Today, when they are themselves a power, their mysterious soul–which we shall never understand–rises up and looks down on whites as on a thing of yesterday.”

The tables have turned. Spengler blames this on the use of non-European troops in European wars like WWI. Blacks and Asians sense whites’ weakness when they are allowed to see and participate in intra-white slaughter.

The Hour of Decision is more than just a Reader’s Digest version of Decline of the West. In the latter work, cultures are portrayed as strictly equal. There is no overall movement in history. But throughout the 1920s, Spengler’s philosophy shifted. He undertook an intense study of prehistoric people and early civilization, and came to see the West as the culmination of History. This “second philosophy of history” is evident in his later works.  (For Spengler’s “second philosophy of history,” see John Farrenkopf’s excellent Prophet of Decline, Spengler on World History and Politics.)

I promise I’ll get stop spenglerfagging next week.

5 thoughts on “Spengler’s Last Prophecy”

  1. There is never enough spenglerfagging.

    And on the West as culmination – Spengler thought initially that a different Culture (Russian) may be born but later decided that it is unlikely, as it has been slaughtered by Peter the Great and the Bolsheviks (i.e. Westernization in general)*. Furthermore, Western Culture/ Civilization, with its pursuit of the Infinite and, consequently, territorial expansion, might have made birth of any new Culture impossible. This may be a beginning of a different epoch, like the emergence of the earliest Cultures – Egyptian and Babylonian – was.

    *Interestingly, Dostoyevsky hated the West and in the light of Spengler’s theory it is clear why.

    1. –A new culture “between the Amur and the Vistula” as I think he puts it. Incidentally, Spengler was a huge fan of Dostoyevsky. Farrenkopf mentions that Spengler even learned enough Russian to read a little Dostoyevsky untranslated

  2. Excellent piece, great book.

    I’ve always found it baffling how most others don’t see the crises that have befallen us, and how they are unable to anticipate the natural order of events. How do you explain this?

    In order to save our people, we’re going to have to beat them down, organize them, and put them to work. You can see how this might be a poor marketing message. But it’s true.

    What comes next? Who knows. The future is tentative. Until then: poolside.

  3. Kudos on finding that stat on white birth rates in Russia rising. I could never find a source that wasn’t StormFront. Which, I mean I’m not hating on StormFront, but I can’t really use it as a source for normies.

    Russia has a lot of problems- mostly its this pessimism amongst the liberal, west-leaning types. Head over to 2ch.hk to the politically incorrect road and you’ll find nothing but bitching about how Russia has terrible roads, terrible women, and terrible politicians.

    The liberals in this country range from the classical liberals that genuinely believe in classical liberal values to the most loathsome traitorous scum that put even American liberals to shame.

    As regards Spengler, I feel that he is talking about this sentiment that Russia is grappling with. This self-hatred because they aren’t “European enough.” And he would be right to point out that Peter the Great started this Western looking trend. But from a practical standpoint, can you blame him? Europe was this military juggernaut that was conquering the world. Russia, Japan and Thailand are the only countries in the world that were never conquered by Europe- let that sink in. Russians had to adapt or die.

    Which I suppose means that they were infected with the same European germ. But the Russian soul rebels, and I have hope. Even though, having lived so long in the West, I find myself just as baffled by the Russian soul as everyone else…

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